Posted by:
ificouldhietokolob
(
)
Date: April 29, 2015 11:26AM
Tal Bachman Wrote:
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> Daniel Dennett is foolish and wrong on this topic
> in a way that only smart people can be.
Of course, you can't just claim he's wrong, you have to also throw in a personal attack and call him "foolish." Typical.
> Religion continues to grow as a global phenomenon,
> and its growth is particularly robust in countries
> which are modernizing technologically (like China
> and Brazil - the very sorts of nations which
> should be experiencing religious *decline* if
> Dennett's thesis were correct).
Where's your data to back up that claim? The Pew research noted in the article showed that worldwide, as a percentage of population, the fastest-growing group is "no religion." The ONLY other group showing ANY growth is Islam, and their growth rate was very, very small. All other religious groups are declining in percentage of population. That data shows your assertion that "religion continues to grow as a global phenomenon" is false. Got any data to back up your claim shown false by actual data from Pew?
> Dennett's view probably comes out of the
> conventional orthodoxy that religion is, and is
> only, a sort of primitive version of science (from
> which it is mistakenly assumed that the spread of
> science will supplant religion, until it entirely
> eclipses religion). The problem is the premise:
> religion is not like that.
And of course, you simply speculated as to what his view "probably" came from, and have no evidence to back that up. Which makes the "premise" you claim a straw-man to argue against. Again, typical.
> Whether we like it or
> not, the fact is that for most people on our
> planet, religion (which usually entails things
> like myth, claims about transcendent purpose and
> meaning, clear ethics, non-rational group ritual,
> sacralized ceremony, etc.) meets deep and abiding
> human needs in ways that science does not, and is
> therefore not seen (or perhaps I should say, is
> not *felt*) to be incompatible with science.
Probably not true in the first place, and even if it is, it's an argument against a straw-man, which was simply your own speculation...so not a useful argument.
> By the way, the hard demographic data show that
> religion will grow even stronger in the future.
As the data from Pew in the article showed, that's not the case at all. That "hard demographic data" shows the opposite. And you presented no "demographic data" at all to back up your claim, though you claimed it exists. So where is it?
> Rates of reproduction rise in perfect correlation
> with levels of religious conservatism; and those
> rates crush secular breeding rates (which at best
> hover around replacement level). In some cases
> (say, orthodox Jews in Israel) the demographic
> changes have already been massive (with
> implications for politics, of course) in only a
> few decades. Give this planet a few centuries, and
> the difference between the fantastic breeding
> rates of conservative Christians and Muslims and
> the dwindling breeding rates of secularists
> breeding rates will be eminently manifest in all
> sorts of ways. Religion will continue, probably
> more strongly than before. At that point, the
> claims of people like Dennett, if they are
> remembered at all, will only be laughed at.
Your claim assumes that any child born to religious parents automatically is that religion, and will stay that religion. Which isn't the case at all (you being a single data point to contradict that idea, me being another one). In fact, as the Pew data shows, the largest growth in the "no religion" category comes from the societies that are currently the most religious -- also contradicting your claim. So even if Muslims or christian fundamentalists "outbreed" the "nones," as they're currently doing, the "nones" are still growing faster (much, much faster) than Muslims or christian fundamentalists. Again contradicting your claim.
So, Tal -- where's the "hard demographic data" that backs up your claims? Hmm?